Wednesday, June 8, 2016

How this presidential election could be decided

Just 2 days ago, Hillary Clinton clinched the Democratic nomination with a primary win in Puerto Rico, a state she had also won in 2008, against the eventual Democratic nominee Barack Obama. This time, however, the situation was entirely different and the roles were reversed, as Hillary Clinton was poised to overtake Bernie Sanders and clinch the Democratic nominee with only 23 delegates required reach the magic number of 1253 delegates. Hillary won the Puerto Rican primary comfortably and cemented her place as the presumptive Democratic nominee, prepared to face off a difficult challenge against the Republican nominee Donald Trump.

Currently, Hillary is in a position few would have expected her to be. A few months ago, Clinton was significantly ahead of Trump in all national polls and was expected to stride to the White House after a tougher than expected primary contest. However, she currently finds herself behind Trump in the various national polls and others show them to be very close. Bernie Sanders is certainly adding gasoline to the fire with his constant accusations of corruption in the Democratic National Committee and the concept of Super delegates. His consistent barrage of attacks on Clinton for her Wall Street ties and her vote for the Iraq war are alienating democratic voters and turning more of them against her, turning what seemed to be a routine primary into an all out battle on who is the more Progressive of the 2 of them.

By this point in the 2008 Democratic primary, Hillary relinquished her battle for the nomination after it became evident that prolonging the process would only harm Obama for when the general election arrived. Realizing that it was necessary for the Democratic Party to unite, she ended her campaign and endorsed Obama for President, allowing him the freedom to focus on the general action while enjoying the full support of his party. This time around, however, the Democratic party is very much divided and the fate of the party hangs in the balance. The longer that Sanders remains in the race and refuses to express support for Clinton, the more he is alienating his voters and allowing Trump to quickly gain Progressive support by feeding off their distrust of the system and disgust with the economy.

A few months ago, it was the Republican Party which was in disarray and unable to organize themselves to back the Republican nominee. Now, the Republicans have quickly reorganized and put their faith in Trump to fulfill their agenda and the Democrats are scrambling to unite their party around Clinton, who is already assured the nomination. Sanders' supporters could be the key to deciding this election and, as everything else in this election, anything could happen.




No comments:

Post a Comment